TraderHC's Substack

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Uncertainty and Expectations
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Uncertainty and Expectations

Flush them out

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TraderHC
Jan 12, 2025
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Uncertainty and Expectations
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If you only want to join *ONLY* the discord, here is the link. Neal’s tradingview indicators and scripts are for sale on there too.

Whop Link for discord access only, Neal's indicators, and Educational Course

Image

Recap:

Yields and the US Dollar continue to create havoc on market participant’s expectations of inflation. Also, participants are still worried about exactly what President Trump’s policy will be as he takes office in 8 days. These combined with the fact that congress has yet to pass a debt ceiling resolution bill for continued government spending.

I have had a lackluster month of performance as I position for the year.

Relevant Topics, News, and Data: Month of January:

  • Earnings begin

  • Thursday Bessent’s 1/16 congressional hearing

  • 1/20 inauguration

  • Wednesday 1/15 CPI

  • Yellen’s “extraordinary measures” window starts Tuesday Jan 14th-23rd
    (This is not new, she has done it before)

  • China stimulus?

Answers are coming to the market over the next couple weeks. CPI can shed light on how inflation is post-fomc powell’s flip flop.

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